FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Arsenal Tula — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Russia - FNL, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.28
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
58%
1.69
Over
42%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.8
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME FK Rodina Moskva The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Arsenal Tula The Market 34%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
19.10.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-2 HT 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUK
12.03.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-3 HT 1-2 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1 - 1
AWAY Arsenal Tula
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW FK Rodina Moskva vs Arsenal Tula
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FK Rodina Moskva and Arsenal Tula couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

A draw from a 40% / 30% / 30% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 52% to 48% in FK Rodina Moskva's favour, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for FK Rodina Moskva against 1.33 for Arsenal Tula.

FK Rodina Moskva vs Arsenal Tula Result & Final Score

FK Rodina Moskva 1 - 1 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FK Rodina Moskva vs Arsenal Tula Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 40%, draw 30%, Arsenal Tula 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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