Makhachkala 3-0 Volgar Astrakhan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.26/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.22
-22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2023 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 0-1 HT 0-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
20.11.2022 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-2 HT 1-0 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
31.07.2022 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 2-1 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
3-0
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Volgar Astrakhan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala swept aside Volgar Astrakhan 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Makhachkala as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Makhachkala had 52% of the ball to Volgar Astrakhan's 48%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Volgar Astrakhan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Makhachkala and 1.33 for Volgar Astrakhan.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Volgar Astrakhan?

Makhachkala 3-0 Volgar Astrakhan in the Russia - FNL on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Volgar Astrakhan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 49%, draw 27%, Volgar Astrakhan 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Makhachkala), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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