Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.95/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.83
+35% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
25.2 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
207 Passes 196
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2023 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 0-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
17.09.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 2-2 HT 1-1 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1-1
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
0.38 xG 0.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
223 Passes 216
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima and Lamphun Warrior shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 52% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 48%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.38 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 1.00 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Lamphun Warrior?

Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Ratchasima win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 37%, draw 30%, Lamphun Warrior 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima) ✓ Under 2.5
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