Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nong Bua Pitchaya v Nakhon Pathom — Team-Based Signals
Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 Nakhon Pathom — Actual Match Statistics
Nong Bua Pitchaya edged past Nakhon Pathom 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Nong Bua Pitchaya made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 41% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 59%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.23 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nong Bua Pitchaya's control.
What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom?
Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nong Bua Pitchaya win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 35%, draw 33%, Nakhon Pathom 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.