Freiburg II 2-4 Sonnenhof Grossaspach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.6pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-1.4pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sonnenhof Grossaspach EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
2.23/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.13
+42% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sonnenhof Grossaspach
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 3-0 HT 2-0 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach ALMBÖL
30.09.2020 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0-5 HT 0-2 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sonnenhof Grossaspach got the better of Freiburg II 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Freiburg II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Freiburg II and 0.00 for Sonnenhof Grossaspach.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach?

Freiburg II 2-4 Sonnenhof Grossaspach in the Germany - Regional League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 45%, draw 20%, Sonnenhof Grossaspach 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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