Sportfreunde Lotte 2-1 Köln II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.1pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln II EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
2.31/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.76
+17% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Köln II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
25.04.2025 Köln II Köln II 1-3 HT 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
02.11.2024 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
05.03.2022 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
25.09.2021 Köln II Köln II 4-0 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
16.05.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-2 HT 1-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
02.02.2020 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 4-3 HT 2-2 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Köln II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte squeezed past Köln II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sportfreunde Lotte as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 2.00 for Köln II.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Köln II?

Sportfreunde Lotte 2-1 Köln II in the Germany - Regional League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Köln II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 48%, draw 26%, Köln II 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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