Köln II 1-3 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.49
No
53%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
63%
-16.6pp
53%
BTTS No
37%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.48/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.10
+10% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
246 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
02.11.2024 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
05.03.2022 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
25.09.2021 Köln II Köln II 4-0 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
16.05.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-2 HT 1-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
02.02.2020 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 4-3 HT 2-2 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
07.02.2015 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-1 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte beat Köln II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sportfreunde Lotte found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Köln II and 1.50 for Sportfreunde Lotte.

What was the final score of Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Köln II 1-3 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Köln II 33%, draw 26%, Sportfreunde Lotte 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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