Meppen 5-1 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meppen EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
2.30/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.39
+18% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meppen
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hamburg II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 0-0 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
03.05.2024 Meppen Meppen 2-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Meppen vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meppen swept aside Hamburg II 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Meppen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Meppen and 1.00 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Meppen vs Hamburg II?

Meppen 5-1 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meppen vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Meppen 44%, draw 26%, Hamburg II 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meppen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meppen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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