Mönchengladbach II 0-1 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.80/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.98
-37% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.11.2024 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
13.01.2024 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 3-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg HAZ
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach II vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg nicked a narrow win over Mönchengladbach II 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mönchengladbach II and 1.50 for MSV Duisburg.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach II vs MSV Duisburg?

Mönchengladbach II 0-1 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - Regional League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach II vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach II 30%, draw 27%, MSV Duisburg 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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