MSV Duisburg 3-1 Mönchengladbach II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 24%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
2.93/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.89
+49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mönchengladbach II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
13.01.2024 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 3-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg HAZ
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Mönchengladbach II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg saw off Mönchengladbach II 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Mönchengladbach II?

MSV Duisburg 3-1 Mönchengladbach II in the Germany - Regional League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Mönchengladbach II?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 46%, draw 24%, Mönchengladbach II 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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