Babelsberg 0-2 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.00/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.88
+18% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
395 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
1W-1D-1L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
20.02.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 3-1 HT 2-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
01.11.2015 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-0 HT 0-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
29.11.2014 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau got the better of Babelsberg 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; FSV Zwickau found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Babelsberg and 1.00 for FSV Zwickau.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs FSV Zwickau?

Babelsberg 0-2 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 40%, draw 26%, FSV Zwickau 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✗ BTTS Yes
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