Holstein Kiel II 2-2 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -17%
1.79/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.40
+30% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.02.2024 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 0-3 HT 0-2 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
11.08.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-3 HT 2-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
11.02.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
21.08.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-2 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
29.10.2021 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
22.08.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 2-3 HT 1-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel II and Weiche Flensburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weiche Flensburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 1.67 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Holstein Kiel II 2-2 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 34%, draw 27%, Weiche Flensburg 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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