Holstein Kiel II 0-3 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Feb 2024

Holstein Kiel II
0-3 HT 0-2
Weiche Flensburg
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Holstein Kiel II vs Weiche Flensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holstein Kiel II v Weiche Flensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.92/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.30
+11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Holstein Kiel II vs Weiche Flensburg Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
11.08.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-3 HT 2-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
11.02.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
21.08.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-2 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
29.10.2021 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
22.08.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 2-3 HT 1-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL

Holstein Kiel II 0-3 Weiche Flensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel II
0-3
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg swept aside Holstein Kiel II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Weiche Flensburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Holstein Kiel II had 59% of the ball to Weiche Flensburg's 41%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Weiche Flensburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 1.40 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Holstein Kiel II 0-3 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 39%, draw 23%, Weiche Flensburg 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Holstein Kiel II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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