Meuselwitz 0-1 BFC Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
26%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 52%
-17% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.98/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.19
-24% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meuselwitz
0W-2D-4L
AWAY BFC Dynamo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-1 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
27.01.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-1 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
06.08.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-2 HT 0-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
04.02.2022 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 3-0 HT 1-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
15.08.2021 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 2-3 HT 1-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
01.11.2020 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-1 HT 1-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meuselwitz
0-1
AWAY BFC Dynamo
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Meuselwitz vs BFC Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Dynamo edged past Meuselwitz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BFC Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Meuselwitz had 41% of the ball to BFC Dynamo's 59%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Dynamo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Meuselwitz and 2.00 for BFC Dynamo.

What was the final score of Meuselwitz vs BFC Dynamo?

Meuselwitz 0-1 BFC Dynamo in the Germany - Regional League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meuselwitz vs BFC Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Meuselwitz 21%, draw 29%, BFC Dynamo 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Dynamo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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