Fortuna Köln 0-0 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.48/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.40
-20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.08.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Köln
0-0
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln and Paderborn 07 II played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Köln at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fortuna Köln had 58% of the ball to Paderborn 07 II's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Paderborn 07 II?

Fortuna Köln 0-0 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 48%, draw 27%, Paderborn 07 II 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
4 Feb 2024
15:00 Energie Cottbus vs Hansa Rostock II Analysis →
15:30 Meuselwitz vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
16:00 Holstein Kiel II vs Weiche Flensburg Analysis →