VFC Plauen 1-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VFC Plauen EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 50%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -21%
1.98/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.03
+44% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH VFC Plauen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt squeezed past VFC Plauen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Rot-Weiss Erfurt made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of VFC Plauen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

VFC Plauen 1-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VFC Plauen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split VFC Plauen 38%, draw 22%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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