San Martin San Juan 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
7.22
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.57
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
12%
4.64
X/2
13%
6.2
X/X
19%
3.06
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.51
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.4pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
0.67/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.24
-50% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.5 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.91 xG 1.53
55% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 236
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2025 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
21.11.2018 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-2 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
17.03.2018 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 3-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
21.06.2017 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
20.11.2015 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 5-1 HT 3-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
22.02.2015 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin San Juan
1-0
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.54 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
248 Passes 321
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan nicked a narrow win over Gimnasia La Plata 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day San Martin San Juan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, San Martin San Juan had 46% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 54%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.54 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia La Plata led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.50 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Gimnasia La Plata?

San Martin San Juan 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 38%, draw 31%, Gimnasia La Plata 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin San Juan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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