Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Feb 2025

Gimnasia La Plata
1-0 HT 1-0
San Martin San Juan
📅17/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Gimnasia La Plata vs San Martin San Juan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
13%
5.6
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
12%
3.97
X/2
8%
8.85
X/X
21%
3.64
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
13%
8.32
2/X
5%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-10.3pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.9pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gimnasia La Plata v San Martin San Juan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.44/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.34
-2% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
24.5 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Gimnasia La Plata vs San Martin San Juan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
2W-2D-2L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
245 Passes 301
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.11.2018 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-2 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
17.03.2018 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 3-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
21.06.2017 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
20.11.2015 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 5-1 HT 3-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
22.02.2015 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
30.06.2011 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ

Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 San Martin San Juan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1-0
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.66 xG 0.81
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
193 Passes 312
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata edged past San Martin San Juan 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gimnasia La Plata as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 40% of the ball to San Martin San Juan's 60%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.66 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.33 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs San Martin San Juan?

Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 41%, draw 33%, San Martin San Juan 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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