Huracan 1-0 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.4
No
69%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
46%
1.93
2-3 Goals
33%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
6.04
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.93 — our 46% vs market 42.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.64
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
12%
4.04
X/2
16%
8.4
X/X
18%
3.46
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
6%
7.93
2/X
5%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+3.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-3.6pp
31%
BTTS Yes
38%
-6.1pp
69%
BTTS No
62%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huracan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.33/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.37
+7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
25.0 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huracan
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.12 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
296 Passes 217
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
30.05.2023 Huracan Huracan 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
17.07.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
14.08.2021 Huracan Huracan 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
23.02.2021 Huracan Huracan 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
03.12.2019 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huracan
1-0
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.12 xG 0.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
299 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huracan vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huracan nicked a narrow win over Union Santa Fe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Huracan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Huracan had 49% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 51%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.12 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Huracan and 0.50 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Huracan vs Union Santa Fe?

Huracan 1-0 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huracan vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huracan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Huracan 45%, draw 28%, Union Santa Fe 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huracan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Huracan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
17 Feb 2025
01:15 River Plate vs Lanus Analysis →
03:30 Talleres Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman Analysis →
23:00 Gimnasia La Plata vs San Martin San Juan Analysis →
23:00 CA Sarmiento vs Deportivo Riestra Analysis →