CA Sarmiento vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Sarmiento v Deportivo Riestra — Team-Based Signals
CA Sarmiento vs Deportivo Riestra Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
CA Sarmiento
ARJPBN
CA Sarmiento 2-1 Deportivo Riestra — Actual Match Statistics
CA Sarmiento nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Riestra 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 31% — and on the day CA Sarmiento made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA Sarmiento had 72% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 28%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.32 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CA Sarmiento's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CA Sarmiento and 1.50 for Deportivo Riestra.
What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Deportivo Riestra?
CA Sarmiento 2-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Deportivo Riestra?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Sarmiento win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 37%, draw 31%, Deportivo Riestra 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Sarmiento) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.