FC Fredericia 1-0 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.35
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
9%
6.89
X/2
18%
5.25
X/X
12%
5.58
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
17%
2.86
2/X
7%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.5 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.90/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.00
+131% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
29.0 Crosses 16.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
1-0
AWAY Randers FC
0.44 xG 1.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
337 Passes 457
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 57
12 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia nicked a narrow win over Randers FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Randers FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 43% of the ball to Randers FC's 57%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.44 to 1.63 — on chances, Randers FC could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs Randers FC?

FC Fredericia 1-0 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 32%, draw 23%, Randers FC 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Randers FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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