AGF Aarhus 1-0 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.0
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
15%
4.13
X/2
7%
10.4
X/X
9%
5.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.3
2/2
6%
8.15
2/X
5%
16.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 13% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
58%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +24%
1.96/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.63
-1% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
26.9 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vejle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.75 xG 0.92
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
442 Passes 199
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle HAZ
16.03.2025 Vejle Vejle 3-2 HT 2-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
19.08.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 5-1 HT 3-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
19.02.2024 Vejle Vejle 0-0 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
23.07.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
12.05.2022 Vejle Vejle 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
1-0
AWAY Vejle
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus nicked a narrow win over Vejle 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 56% of the ball to Vejle's 44%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AGF Aarhus and 0.83 for Vejle.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Vejle?

AGF Aarhus 1-0 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 62%, draw 21%, Vejle 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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