AGF Aarhus 1-0 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.95
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
19%
4.46
X/2
8%
11.2
X/X
8%
6.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.2
2/2
13%
7.86
2/X
8%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
2.66/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/3.09
+35% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vejle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 0.91
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
433 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Vejle Vejle 3-2 HT 2-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
19.08.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 5-1 HT 3-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
19.02.2024 Vejle Vejle 0-0 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
23.07.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
12.05.2022 Vejle Vejle 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
03.04.2022 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus edged past Vejle 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AGF Aarhus and 0.83 for Vejle.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Vejle?

AGF Aarhus 1-0 Vejle in the Friendlies on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 53%, draw 21%, Vejle 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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