Olimpija Ljubljana 3-3 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jun 2025

Olimpija Ljubljana
3-3 HT 1-1
MTK Budapest
📅25/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Olimpija Ljubljana vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olimpija Ljubljana v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 25%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.62/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/2.41
-11% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Olimpija Ljubljana 3-3 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
3-3
AWAY MTK Budapest
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana and MTK Budapest couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpija Ljubljana at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 66% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 34%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs MTK Budapest?

Olimpija Ljubljana 3-3 MTK Budapest in the Friendlies on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 44%, draw 25%, MTK Budapest 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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