Guastatoya 1-3 Mictlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mictlan EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Mictlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mictlan beat Guastatoya 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guastatoya at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Mictlan?

Guastatoya 1-3 Mictlan in the Guatemala - National League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Mictlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 52%, draw 29%, Mictlan 19%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✗ Under 2.5
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