Municipal 1-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.86/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.00
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Xelaju MC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
27.01.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
10.11.2024 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
25.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
07.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
28.10.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
1-1
AWAY Xelaju MC
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal and Xelaju MC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Municipal at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Municipal had 51% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 49%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal and 0.33 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Xelaju MC?

Municipal 1-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Municipal 56%, draw 24%, Xelaju MC 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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