Municipal 1-0 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.99/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.97
+19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +46%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
469 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 170 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Xelaju MC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.01.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
10.11.2024 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
25.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
07.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
28.10.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
05.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
1-0
AWAY Xelaju MC
52% Ball Possession 48%
27 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal nicked a narrow win over Xelaju MC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Municipal had 52% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 48%, shots finished 27-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal and 0.33 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Xelaju MC?

Municipal 1-0 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Municipal 53%, draw 25%, Xelaju MC 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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