Guastatoya 1-0 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
55%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.67/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.11
-2% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Marquense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Marquense Marquense 2-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.10.2024 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya edged past Marquense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guastatoya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marquense led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guastatoya and 1.50 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Marquense?

Guastatoya 1-0 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 52%, draw 29%, Marquense 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guastatoya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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