Marquense 2-0 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+5.9pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.30/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.45
-22% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.10.2024 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marquense
2-0
AWAY Guastatoya
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense got the better of Guastatoya 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marquense as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marquense had 51% of the ball to Guastatoya's 49%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Marquense 2-0 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Marquense 54%, draw 30%, Guastatoya 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marquense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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26 Jan 2025
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