Xelaju MC 1-1 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.24/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.14
-2% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
339 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Municipal
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
25.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
07.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
28.10.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
05.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
12.02.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC and Municipal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Xelaju MC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.83 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Municipal?

Xelaju MC 1-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 41%, draw 29%, Municipal 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Xelaju MC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
27 Jan 2025
00:00 Coban Imperial vs Mixco Analysis →