Municipal 1-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.92/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.92
+21% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +54%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
07.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
28.10.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
05.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
12.02.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
17.11.2022 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
1-1
AWAY Xelaju MC
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal and Xelaju MC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Municipal had 56% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 44%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Municipal and 0.33 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Xelaju MC?

Municipal 1-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Municipal 48%, draw 28%, Xelaju MC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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