Antigua GFC 2-2 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
2.08/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.73
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Xinabajul
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
26.08.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
29.04.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
26.04.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
22.04.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
27.11.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
07.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-3 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua GFC
2-2
AWAY Xinabajul
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC and Xinabajul shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Antigua GFC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Antigua GFC had 54% of the ball to Xinabajul's 46%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.50 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Xinabajul?

Antigua GFC 2-2 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 48%, draw 27%, Xinabajul 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Antigua GFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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