Antigua GFC 2-1 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
2.07/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.67
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Xinabajul
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
26.04.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
22.04.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
27.11.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
07.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-3 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
06.03.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
13.11.2022 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-0 HT 2-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua GFC
2-1
AWAY Xinabajul
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC squeezed past Xinabajul 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Antigua GFC had 55% of the ball to Xinabajul's 45%, shots finished 20-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.50 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Xinabajul?

Antigua GFC 2-1 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 58%, draw 26%, Xinabajul 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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