Xinabajul 2-0 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.33/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.31
+11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 3
29.04.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
26.04.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
22.04.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
27.11.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
07.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-3 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
06.03.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul got the better of Antigua GFC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Xinabajul found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Xinabajul and 1.17 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Antigua GFC?

Xinabajul 2-0 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 36%, draw 32%, Antigua GFC 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xinabajul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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