Mixco 2-0 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.16
No
66%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.2pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.30/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.23
-6% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
31.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
19.11.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-0 HT 3-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
09.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
16.02.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.10.2022 Mixco Mixco 0-2 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
2-0
AWAY Malacateco
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco beat Malacateco 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mixco had 53% of the ball to Malacateco's 47%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mixco and 1.00 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Malacateco?

Mixco 2-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mixco 49%, draw 27%, Malacateco 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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