Haugesund vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haugesund v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals
Haugesund vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Haugesund
NOR
1-1
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
1-1
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
2-1
HT 2-1
Haugesund
NOR
2-1
HT 0-1
Haugesund
NOR
Haugesund 2-3 Valerenga — Actual Match Statistics
Valerenga squeezed past Haugesund 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Haugesund had 49% of the ball to Valerenga's 51%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.94 to 2.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Valerenga's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Haugesund and 1.67 for Valerenga.
What was the final score of Haugesund vs Valerenga?
Haugesund 2-3 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Valerenga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 18%, draw 20%, Valerenga 62%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.