Bentleigh Greens 3-1 Northcote City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
69%
-1.6pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.3pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.0pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bentleigh Greens EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Northcote City EU Bookmakers 15%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.33/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/3.00
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bentleigh Greens
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Northcote City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
09.05.2025 Northcote City Northcote City 1-2 HT 0-1 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens NPL2
27.06.2014 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 1-2 HT 0-1 Northcote City Northcote City AVNPL
30.03.2014 Northcote City Northcote City 2-3 HT 1-2 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
POST-MATCH Bentleigh Greens vs Northcote City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bentleigh Greens got the better of Northcote City 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bentleigh Greens as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bentleigh Greens had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bentleigh Greens and 1.67 for Northcote City.

What was the final score of Bentleigh Greens vs Northcote City?

Bentleigh Greens 3-1 Northcote City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bentleigh Greens vs Northcote City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bentleigh Greens win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bentleigh Greens 67%, draw 18%, Northcote City 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bentleigh Greens), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bentleigh Greens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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