Universitatea Craiova 2-0 Petrolul 52 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrolul 52 EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
2.01/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.29
+1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
14.0 Crosses 14.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Petrolul 52
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
169 Passes 116
49% Pass Accuracy 38%
43 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 1-1 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
04.12.2024 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 0-2 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROMK
04.08.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-0 HT 0-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
29.02.2024 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 2-3 HT 1-2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
22.10.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-3 HT 0-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
05.03.2023 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 0-1 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
2-0
AWAY Petrolul 52
1.98 xG 0.40
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
558 Passes 306
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul 52
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova saw off Petrolul 52 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 61% of the ball to Petrolul 52's 39%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.98 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.00 for Petrolul 52.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul 52?

Universitatea Craiova 2-0 Petrolul 52 in the Romania - 1st Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul 52?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 51%, draw 25%, Petrolul 52 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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