Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Aug 2026

📅24/08/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.69
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 Passes 397
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2026 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
03.10.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
17.06.2021 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-1 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
03.11.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-3 HT 0-2 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
23.07.2019 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
02.12.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
PREVIEW Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Sao Paulo edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Chapecoense's home form is a worry — beaten in 4 of the last 5 in the league, and both teams have scored in 4 of Sao Paulo's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chapecoense and 1.83 for Sao Paulo.

Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo Kick-off Time

Chapecoense play Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/08/2026, kick-off 00:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo is an Sao Paulo win at about 45% probability, priced 2.03 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Chapecoense 26%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 45%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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