Sao Paulo 2-0 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Mar 2026

Sao Paulo
2-0 HT 0-0
Chapecoense
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.07
Over
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
25%
3.74
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.05
6+
12%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.74 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.74
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
16.75
X/1
18%
3.87
X/2
4%
13.15
X/X
10%
6.14
2/1
11%
21.8
2/2
6%
11.05
2/X
5%
19.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Sao Paulo v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense The Market 18%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.53/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.93
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
23.1 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.69 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
375 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
17.06.2021 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-1 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
03.11.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-3 HT 0-2 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
23.07.2019 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
02.12.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
20.08.2018 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1

Sao Paulo 2-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
2-0
AWAY Chapecoense
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 6
406 Passes 206
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
REVIEW Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sao Paulo got the better of Chapecoense 2-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 47% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.68, about 60%.

On the day, possession split 63% to 37% in Sao Paulo's favour, shots finished 18-7.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Sao Paulo against 0.50 for Chapecoense.

Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense Result & Final Score

Sao Paulo 2-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 67%, draw 19%, Chapecoense 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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