Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vasco da Gama v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama found just enough to beat Palmeiras 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
The model refused to pick a side here (38% / 26% / 36%); Vasco da Gama picked one for it. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in Vasco da Gama's favour, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.50 to 0.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Vasco da Gama against 1.67 for Palmeiras.
Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Result & Final Score
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 38%, draw 26%, Palmeiras 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.