Gremio 1-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.75
Over
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.87
2-3
43%
1.73
4-5
20%
3.76
6+
9%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.86
X/2
5%
6.42
X/X
12%
4.42
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.77
2/X
6%
13.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino The Market 33%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.54/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.12
+31% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.5 Crosses 20.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 Passes 387
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 Bragantino Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
11.05.2025 Gremio Gremio 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino Bragantino BR1
15.09.2024 Bragantino Bragantino 2-2 HT 1-1 Gremio Gremio BR1
01.06.2024 Gremio Gremio 0-2 HT 0-1 Bragantino Bragantino BR1
15.09.2023 Bragantino Bragantino 2-0 HT 2-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
08.05.2023 Gremio Gremio 3-3 HT 1-1 Bragantino Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
1-1
AWAY Bragantino
1.56 xG 1.66
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
209 Passes 364
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Gremio vs Bragantino
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gremio and Bragantino finished all square at 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We leaned Gremio at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.88, about 53%.

On the day, Bragantino saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.56 to 1.66.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Gremio against 1.83 for Bragantino.

Gremio vs Bragantino Result & Final Score

Gremio 1-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gremio vs Bragantino Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gremio 45%, draw 26%, Bragantino 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gremio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gremio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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