Gremio 1-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.88
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
12%
5.58
X/2
11%
5.82
X/X
15%
4.09
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
18%
4.14
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.06/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.11
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
14.6 Crosses 21.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 371
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Bragantino 2-2 HT 1-1 Gremio Gremio BR1
01.06.2024 Gremio Gremio 0-2 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
15.09.2023 Bragantino 2-0 HT 2-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
08.05.2023 Gremio Gremio 3-3 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
17.11.2021 Gremio Gremio 3-0 HT 3-0 Bragantino BR1
01.08.2021 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
1-1
AWAY Bragantino
0.61 xG 0.96
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
210 Passes 412
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gremio vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio and Bragantino shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Gremio had 38% of the ball to Bragantino's 62%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.61 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gremio and 1.67 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Gremio vs Bragantino?

Gremio 1-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gremio 36%, draw 26%, Bragantino 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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