Mirassol FC vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mirassol FC v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Mirassol FC vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Mirassol FC
BREPAU
2-1
HT 2-1
Mirassol FC
BREPAU
0-1
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BREPAU
1-0
HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
BREPAU
1-1
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BREPAU
1-0
HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
BREPAU
Mirassol FC 2-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Mirassol FC nicked a narrow win over Corinthians 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mirassol FC had 37% of the ball to Corinthians's 63%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.68 to 1.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mirassol FC's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.50 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Corinthians?
Mirassol FC 2-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 41%, draw 27%, Corinthians 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.