Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
BRK
1-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BRK
Palmeiras 1-0 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras nicked a narrow win over Sao Paulo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Palmeiras had 57% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 43%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.43 to 0.87.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palmeiras and 0.67 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?
Palmeiras 1-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 49%, draw 29%, Sao Paulo 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.