Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Palmeiras v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palmeiras 1-0 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras nicked a narrow win over Sao Paulo 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Palmeiras had 57% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 43%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.43 to 0.87.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palmeiras and 0.67 for Sao Paulo.
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Result & Final Score
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 54%, draw 29%, Sao Paulo 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.