Sao Paulo 0-0 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Apr 2024

Sao Paulo
0-0 HT 0-0
Palmeiras
📅30/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.47
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.76
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
16%
5.03
X/2
13%
5.75
X/X
13%
3.49
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.54
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.9pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sao Paulo v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.28/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.52
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.0 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
350 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRSC
26.10.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 5-0 HT 3-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
14.07.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-2 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRK
06.07.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BRK
11.06.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-2 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
22.01.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BREPAU

Sao Paulo 0-0 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
0-0
AWAY Palmeiras
0.87 xG 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo and Palmeiras fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Paulo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 57% of the ball to Palmeiras's 43%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.33 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras?

Sao Paulo 0-0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 45%, draw 26%, Palmeiras 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Paulo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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