Flamengo vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
2-3
HT 1-3
Flamengo
BR1
Flamengo 1-0 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo squeezed past Bahia 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Flamengo had 61% of the ball to Bahia's 39%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.52 to 0.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Flamengo and 0.50 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Bahia?
Flamengo 1-0 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 58%, draw 25%, Bahia 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.