Bahia 0-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 29 Aug 2024

Bahia
0-1 HT 0-0
Flamengo
📅29/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
13%
5.06
X/2
9%
5.63
X/X
16%
3.7
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.36
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.3pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahia v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
0.93/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.85
-19% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +72%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.5 Crosses 14.2
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Bahia vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Flamengo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.86 xG 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
339 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.06.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-1 Bahia Bahia BR1
30.09.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
13.05.2023 Bahia Bahia 2-3 HT 1-3 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
12.11.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 3-0 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
19.07.2021 Bahia Bahia 0-5 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
21.12.2020 Flamengo Flamengo 4-3 HT 2-0 Bahia Bahia BR1

Bahia 0-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
0-1
AWAY Flamengo
1.65 xG 0.45
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
539 Passes 300
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo nicked a narrow win over Bahia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Flamengo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Bahia had 62% of the ball to Flamengo's 38%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.65 to 0.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bahia.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bahia and 3.00 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Flamengo?

Bahia 0-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Cup on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bahia 39%, draw 30%, Flamengo 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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