Flamengo vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
2-3
HT 1-3
Flamengo
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Bahia
BR1
0-5
HT 0-2
Flamengo
BR1
Flamengo 1-0 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo nicked a narrow win over Bahia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Flamengo had 46% of the ball to Bahia's 54%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.17 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Flamengo and 0.50 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Bahia?
Flamengo 1-0 Bahia in the Brazil - Cup on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 47%, draw 26%, Bahia 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.