Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 13 Sep 2024

Atletico Mineiro
0-0 HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.19
No
67%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.2
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.25
X/1
15%
4.38
X/2
12%
6.17
X/X
21%
3.47
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
7%
5.37
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.9pp
33%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.4pp
67%
BTTS No
58%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Mineiro v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 32%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.02/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.78
+38% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
11.0 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.95 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 372
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.08.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
03.12.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
06.08.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
02.11.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
11.07.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
26.09.2021 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1

Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0-0
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.33 xG 0.85
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
263 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Mineiro at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 40% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 60%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.33 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 0.50 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo?

Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Cup on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 44%, draw 31%, Sao Paulo 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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